


Vol 79, No 10 (2018)
- Year: 2018
- Articles: 15
- URL: https://ogarev-online.ru/0005-1179/issue/view/9032
Control Problems for the Development of Large-Scale Systems
A Suite of Intelligent Tools for Early Detection and Prevention of Blackouts in Power Interconnections
Abstract
We propose a suite of intelligent tools based on the integration of methods of agent modeling and machine learning for the improvement of protection systems and emergency automatics. We propose an online approach to the assessment and management of dynamic security of electric power systems (EPS) with the use of a streaming modification of the random forest algorithm. The suite allows to recognize dangerous modes of complex closed-loop EPS, preventing the risk of emergencies on early stages. We show results of experimental tests on IEEE test systems.



Justification of Effectiveness of International Power Interconnections with Separation of Effects between Participants
Abstract
We consider the methodology and describe the tools needed for a system study of the effectiveness of the development of international power links and the interconnections that are formed as a result, in particular from the point of view of the countries included in them. We give examples where we justify the effectiveness of an international interconnection in the Northeast Asia region.



Comparison of Sub-Gramian Analysis with Eigenvalue Analysis for Stability Estimation of Large Dynamical Systems
Abstract
In earlier works, solutions of Lyapunov equations were represented as sums of Hermitian matrices corresponding to individual eigenvalues of the system or their pairwise combinations. Each eigen-term in these expansions are called a sub-Gramian. In this paper, we derive spectral decompositions of the solutions of algebraic Lyapunov equations in a more general formulation using the residues of the resolvent of the dynamics matrix. The qualitative differences and advantages of the sub-Gramian approach are described in comparison with the traditional analysis of eigenvalues when estimating the proximity of a dynamical system to its stability boundary. These differences are illustrated by the example of a system with a multiple root and a system of two resonating oscillators. The proposed approach can be efficiently used to evaluate resonant interactions in large dynamical systems.



Development Control: Structural Analysis, Problems, Stability
Abstract
Consideration was given to the problem of development control in the interestmotivated systems. Carried out was structural analysis underlying the control methodology with the structure of Markov process of collective decisions. Formulated were the principles and axiomatics of the collective decisions, conditions for compromise solvability, problem formulations, and conditions for stability of the controlled development process.



Model of the Financial Coalition in Dynamics
Abstract
Consideration was given to the further development of the system approaches and assessment of opportunities of the mathematical description of investment processes and location on it of the necessary computing tools for formation of the basic technologies at the design of financial tools in the procedures of securitization and creation of the structured financial investment tools. Interest was mostly shown in the elements of decision making by the participants of the process of residential crediting in dynamics and synergetic effect arising at pooling the participant resources. The fact of reduced credit rate was proved theoretically. The established fact of possible dramatic reduction in the borrower credit rates by efficient bank subsidization realizable by various financial tools can be put down to the main result of the computer experiments.



Information Technologies for Development Management Systems
Abstract
We propose an interconnected complex of information technologies based on mathematical models. The proposed complex complements the technology of constructing development management systems (DMS), significantly increasing its effectiveness. This complex includes an integrated assessment system for the status of the development program, methods for constructing the program that take into account multipurpose and interdependent projects and a risk management, operational management, and scheduling model.



Problems of Optimization and Simulation at Control of Development of Large-Scale Systems
Innovation Efficiency Range Estimates by Balance Models
Abstract
The results of work on creation of an original formalized method for estimation of the economic efficiency of the know-how for selection of the directions for the state investments from the balance models under uncertainty were compactly presented.



Design of Organizational Structures in Large-Scale Projects of Digital Economy
Abstract
Consideration was given to using theoretical constructs of the decision making theory for analysis of the outlooks for development of the state-business partnership in the large Russian industry and infrastructure. The possibilities of formal description of the conceptual situation of the economic state-business partnership corresponding to the legal foundations the statebusiness were examined. Attention was mostly paid to the mechanisms for coordinations of the interests of state and business.



Recurrent Algorithms of Structural Classification Analysis for Complex Organized Information
Abstract
For the structural classification analysis of complex organized information, we propose to use recurrent algorithms of stochastic approximation type. We introduce classification quality functionals that depend on non-normalized and zero moments of probability distribution functions for the probability of sample objects appearing in the classes, as well as the type of optimal classification. We propose a new classification algorithm for this type of classification quality criteria and prove a theorem about its convergence that ensures the stationary value of the corresponding functional. We show that the proposed algorithm can be used to solve a wide class of problems in structural classification analysis.



Models and Algorithms of Automata Theory for the Control of an Aircraft Group
Abstract
We develop models and algorithms to control the process of landing aircraft under uncertainty of their positions in space caused by unfavorable, unforeseen external influences. As the objective function we consider the execution time of the dispatcher’s commands, and as constraints we introduce requirements for the safety of aircraft. Based on the developed formalism of generalized synchronization of linear automata, we develop an approach that makes it possible to reduce this problem to an integer linear programming problem. We consider an example of the use of the developed models and methods for controlling the aircraft landing process.



Data Modeling for the Analysis of Health Risks and Human Longevity
Abstract
We study the factors that influence the health of a person and human longevity with methods of mathematical modeling. We pay special attention to the use of modern data analysis methods that take into account the effects of heterogeneity in the considered groups of people due to genetic, behavioral differences, and presence of concomitant diseases that affect the condition of a person differently. We study the relationship between cause-specific mortality and diseases that the person had at the end of his or her life.



Large Scale Systems Control
Passification-based Adaptive Control Design for Quadrotor Stabilization
Abstract
This paper is dedicated to passification-based adaptive control design for quadrotor stabilization. We construct a stabilization system for a quadrotor using PD controllers and the feedback linearization method. Finally, we demonstrate simulation results and compare the new approach with two other control design methods.



Stabilization of Nonlinear Fornasini–Marchesini Systems
Abstract
This paper considers the 2D systems described by the Fornasini–Marchesini statespace model. Direct and converse theorems on the exponential stability of such systems are proved in terms of vector Lyapunov functions. The concepts of exponential passivity and a vector storage function are introduced for solving exponential stabilization problems. An example is given to illustrate the efficiency of the new results.



Mathematical Game Theory and Applications
Strong Time-Consistent Subset of the Core in Cooperative Differential Games with Finite Time Horizon
Abstract
Time consistency is one of the most important properties of solutions in cooperative differential games. This paper uses the core as a cooperative solution of the game. We design a strong time-consistent subset of the core. The design method of this subset is based on a special class of imputation distribution procedures (IDPs).



Mathematical Foundations of the Golden Rule. II. Dynamic Case
Abstract
This paper extends the earlier research of the Golden Rule in the static case [2] to the dynamic one. The main idea is to use the Germeier convolution of the payoff functions of players within the framework of antagonistic positional differential games in quasi motions and guiding control.


