Forecasting development of economy of Russian regions with taking the new classification of kinds of economic activities into account

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Macromodels of two federal districts of Russia, constructed by authors, are considered in the article.

These macromodels correspond to the new classification of kinds of economic activities. Results of forecasting development of economy of these regions with using macromodels for the period until 2028 year by two scenarios are presented.

Sobre autores

D. Galin

Federal State Institution "Federal Research Center "Computer Science and Control» of Russian Academy of Sciences"

Autor responsável pela correspondência
Email: zavelsky@isa.ru

Senior research assistant

Rússia, Moscow

I. Sumarokova

Federal State Institution "Federal Research Center "Computer Science and Control» of Russian Academy of Sciences"

Email: zavelsky@isa.ru

Technician of the 1st category

Rússia, Moscow

Bibliografia

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  2. Shirov A.A., Mikheeva N.N., Gusev M.S., Savchishina K.E. Makroekonomicheskaya stabilizatsiya i prostranstvennoe razvitie ekonomiki [Macroeconomic stabilization and spatial development of the economy]. // Problemy prognozirovaniya [Problems of forecasting], 2019, 5:3-15.
  3. Suvorov A.V., Ivanov V.N., Budanova A.I. Sistema makroekonomicheskikh balansov dlya prognozirovaniya ekonomiki regionov Rossii [A system of macroeconomic balances for forecasting the economies of Russian regions]. // Problemy prognozirovaniya [Problems of forecasting], 2021, 2:6-18.
  4. Galin D.M., Sumarokova I.V. Primenenie makroekonomicheskikh modeley Rossii i eyo regionov dlya prognozirovaniya ikh ekonomicheskoy dinamiki [Using macroeconomic models of Russia and its regions for forecasting their economic dynamics]. // Trudy ISA RAN [Proceedings of Institute for Systems Analysis], 2019, 69(1):37-49.
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  6. www.cbr.ru
  7. Galin D.M., Sumarokova I.V. Prognozirovanie razvitiya ekonomiki Rossii s uchyotom novogo klassifikatora vidov ekonomicheskoy deyatelnosti [Forecasting development of economy of Russia with taking the new classification of kinds of economic activities into account]. // Trudy ISA RAN [Proceedings of Institute for Systems Analysis], 2022, 72(1):35-47.
  8. Johnston J. Econometric methods. 2nd ed. Tokyo: McGraw-Hill, Kogakusha Ltd, 1972. 448 p.

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