Email this article Estimating the Contributions of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and Variations in the Atmospheric Concentration of Greenhouse Gases to Surface Air Temperature Trends from Observations
- Authors: Mokhov I.I.1,2, Smirnov D.A.3,4
-
Affiliations:
- Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics
- Moscow State University
- Saratov Branch of Kotel’nikov Institute of RadioEngineering and Electronics
- Institute of Applied Physics
- Issue: Vol 480, No 1 (2018)
- Pages: 602-606
- Section: Geophysics
- URL: https://ogarev-online.ru/1028-334X/article/view/193088
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S1028334X18050069
- ID: 193088
Cite item
Open Access
Access granted
Subscription Access
Abstract
We have quantitatively estimated the contributions of anthropogenic forcing characterized by variations in the atmospheric content of greenhouse gases and of natural variability characterized by the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation to the trends of global surface air temperature from observations since the middle of the nineteenth century on the basis of three-component autoregressive models.
About the authors
I. I. Mokhov
Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics; Moscow State University
Author for correspondence.
Email: mokhov@ifaran.ru
Russian Federation, Moscow, 119017; Moscow, 119991
D. A. Smirnov
Saratov Branch of Kotel’nikov Institute of RadioEngineering and Electronics; Institute of Applied Physics
Email: mokhov@ifaran.ru
Russian Federation, Saratov, 410019; Nizhny Novgorod, 603950
Supplementary files
