On identification of morbidity parameters in a heterogeneous model: The cases of complete and incomplete information


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Abstract

This paper suggests a methodology to estimate morbidity parameters in a three-state model, which includes the heterogeneity factor modeled by a gamma-distributed random variable. The cases of complete and incomplete information are considered and various risk estimation methods are discussed. We give estimates of morbidity radiation risks in four classes of diseases based on data from the Russian National Radiation Epidemiological Registry. The methodology can be used during the development of radiation protection systems.

About the authors

V. K. Ivanov

Tsyb Medical Radiological Research Center—Branch of the National Medical Research Radiological Center of the Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation

Email: roivanov@yahoo.com
Russian Federation, Obninsk

S. Yu. Chekin

Tsyb Medical Radiological Research Center—Branch of the National Medical Research Radiological Center of the Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation

Email: roivanov@yahoo.com
Russian Federation, Obninsk

M. A. Maksyutov

Tsyb Medical Radiological Research Center—Branch of the National Medical Research Radiological Center of the Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation

Email: roivanov@yahoo.com
Russian Federation, Obninsk

V. V. Kashcheev

Tsyb Medical Radiological Research Center—Branch of the National Medical Research Radiological Center of the Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation

Email: roivanov@yahoo.com
Russian Federation, Obninsk

R. V. Ivanov

Trapeznikov Institute of Control Sciences

Author for correspondence.
Email: roivanov@yahoo.com
Russian Federation, Moscow

A. I. Mikhalskii

Trapeznikov Institute of Control Sciences

Email: roivanov@yahoo.com
Russian Federation, Moscow

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