Increasing resilience and selection of a strategy for restoring transport networks in extreme natural processes

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Abstract

Aim. The development of an approach to increasing resilience by selecting strategies for restoring transport networks affected by extreme natural processes.

Methods. This study evaluates the dynamics of extreme natural processes, specifically exogenous geological processes that can that can disrupt transport networks. It includes as framework for assessing the sustainability and restoration of transport networks under climate risk factors. Strategies for restoring the transport network were formulated.

Results. The formulated strategies enable network modeling of transport network topology, which can be represented as an undirected weighted graph with a set of nodes and edges. The proposed model allows determining the most effective strategy for quickly restoring the connectivity of the transport network by determining the optimal sequence of restoration for repairing road sections, considering restoration time. The efficiency of restoring damaged sections of the transport network is expected to decrease as the share of the restored network increases. Therefore, it is crucial to estimate the necessary extend of network restoration to perform the necessary extent of network restoration to support emergency and urgent tasks by RSChS formations in specific areas.

Conclusion. The analysis and assessment of alternative solutions for restoring the sustainability of transport networks considers the complexity of tasks under climate risk factors, such as extreme natural processes. In some cases, the RSChS problems do not require complete network restoration, unlike the tasks solved by the transport industry. This work aims to develop a framework for assessing restoration strategies, identifying the features of each of the considered strategies under uncertainty, and increasing operational sustainability. The proposed approach is flexible, allowing decision makers to assess various priorities during a specific natural emergency in a certain area, such as average recovery time, process efficiency, and uncertainty levels, when choosing the most desirable strategy. It is assumed that the average recovery time does not differ significantly among strategies for full network restoration. However, for partial restorations necessary for RSChS tasks, the average restoration time depends on the chosen strategy.

About the authors

Rasul G. Akhtyamov

Emperor Alexander I Saint Petersburg State Transport University

Author for correspondence.
Email: ahtamov_zchs@mail.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0001-8732-219X
SPIN-code: 2812-3782

Candidate of Technical Sciences, Associate Professor

Russian Federation, Saint Petersburg

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2. Fig. 1. Change in the number of landslides in the world from 1900 to 2019

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3. Fig. 2. Structure of assessment of sustainability and possibility of restoration of transport networks in conditions of realization of climate risk factors

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