Tools for expanding the export potential of the food industry under sanctions

the necessity of adapting Russia’s agro-industrial complex to the transformed conditions of international trade, driven by the imposition of sanctions, defines the relevance of this study. In the current environment, domestic food producers face multiple challenges, including disruptions in logistics chains, restricted access to international financial instruments, and the need to explore alternative markets. Under these circumstances, the development of effective government support mechanisms and export growth strategies becomes a key factor in ensuring the industry's sustainable expansion. This paper analyzes the instruments aimed at enhancing the export potential of Russia’s food industry under sanctions. Additionally, adaptation strategies within the agro-industrial complex are considered, focusing on the modernization of logistics infrastructure, diversification of export destinations, and the transition to settlements in national currencies. The methodological framework of the study includes an analysis of legal and regulatory frameworks, export volume forecasting using linear regression, and a comparative assessment of government support measures. The research findings indicate that expanding export opportunities requires a comprehensive approach, encompassing investment incentives for production, the development of certification infrastructure, and the promotion of public-private partnerships. Forecast estimates highlight the prospects for increasing exports of grain, meat, and dairy products under various economic scenarios. The study concludes that a systematic approach to agro-industrial export development is essential, taking into account both macroeconomic conditions and the necessity for enterprises to remain flexible and adaptive in the evolving landscape of global trade.

agro-industrial complex, export potential, sanctions, government support, logistics infrastructure, alternative markets, trade financing, food security, export risk insurance