Factors of Victory of Republican D. Trump

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Abstract

The intrigue surrounding the winner remained until the very end. Although the numbers were slightly in favor of the Democratic candidate K. Harris, and there was a feeling that she would most likely win, it did not happen. On November 5, 2024, D. Trump, as it turned out, received the votes of almost all demographic groups in seven key states, which, as swing states, traditionally decide the fate of candidates for the highest office in the nation – the presidency. D. Trump won the majority of the voters' support. Of course, the Democratic Party is making attempts to understand the reasons for its loss and to uncover the origins and essence of its misconceptions about the American electorate. These obvious questions concern not only the defeated party but also the American public, engaged citizens on both sides, albeit for different reasons, the scientific community, and others who recognize the global influence of the United States. 1) Why did the Democratic Party lose? 2) How great is the extent of the Democrats' defeat? 3) What are the origins of the Democratic Party's misconceptions about the American electorate? 4) What factors contributed to the victory of the Republican candidate? 5) Why does Republican D. Trump, who suffered a fiasco after the first administration and was implicated in in four criminal cases – with 91 charges across federal and state levels that collectively carried a potential sentence of up to 20 years – receive a mandate for a second term?

About the authors

Nadezda A. Shvedova

Georgy Arbatov Institute for U.S. and Canada Studies, Russian Academy of Sciences (ISKRAN)

Email: n.shvedova2015@yandex.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0001-6639-6392
Scopus Author ID: 57208550232
Doctor of Sciences (Political), Professor, Chief Researcher, Department of Internal Policy Studies Moscow 121069, Russian Federation

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