Forming a Strategy for Structural Modernization of Russia's Economy in the Face of Sanctions

Under the conditions of increasing sanctions pressure and profound transformation of global value chains, the necessity for the Russian economy to transition to a new type of development becomes a defining factor in strategic planning. This article presents a comprehensive theoretical and methodological analysis of the formation of a structural modernization strategy aimed at ensuring the long-term competitiveness and sustainability of the national economy. The study is based on the provisions of Federal Law No. 172-FZ "On Strategic Planning in the Russian Federation" dated June 28, 2014, and takes into account current challenges related to changes in the global economic environment, digital transformation, and institutional constraints. The subject of the study is the methodological foundations for developing a strategy for the structural modernization of the economy of the Russian Federation under sanctioning constraints, including principles for integrating sectoral and spatial approaches, utilizing digital forecasting ecosystems, and mechanisms for inter-agency cooperation in strategic planning. The methodological basis of the research is grounded in systemic and comprehensive approaches, foresight and hindsight analysis, providing the identification of structural interconnections, long-term trends, and evaluation of past experiences. The article addresses the sectoral and spatial levels of modernization and the digital forecasting framework, ensuring the integration of data and the objectivity of conclusions. The scientific novelty of the research lies in the proposal of a multi-level architecture for strategy that combines sectoral and spatial approaches and integrates digital forecasting ecosystems to enhance the rationale for managerial decisions. For the first time, mechanisms for inter-agency cooperation and coordination of interests at the federal and regional levels in the development and implementation of the structural modernization strategy are formulated. The results obtained confirm the need to shift from adaptive measures to comprehensive structural transformations that ensure a balance of national and regional priorities, align strategic planning with budgetary and project management, as well as increase the economy's resilience to external shocks. The developed methodological provisions can be used in the formation of national projects, state programs, and regional strategies for socio-economic development, as well as in improving the normative and methodological framework for strategic planning in the Russian Federation.

structural modernization, strategic planning, sanctions, systemic approach, digitalization, forecasting, interagency coordination, institutional mechanisms, national projects, spatial development