Socio-demographic indicators for national security

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Abstract

The demographic crisis and depopulation that have been ongoing for decades, have made research on the demographic security of Russia and its regions particularly important. Therefore, research into rising mortality rates and, conversely, declining fertility rates, depopulation, unregulated migration processes, and identifying ways to prevent them is crucial for Russian regions. When studying demographic security, the key indicators are solely based on the characteristics of natural population movement, ignoring the role of external migration and determining both its positive and negative potential consequences. Accordingly, monitoring demographic security requires the creation of a database and the development of a system of indicators. When determining indicators of demographic security, it is important to move away from general indicators of population growth and focus on more specific indicators that reflect the rate of change in population growth and the quality of the population.

Aim. The study is to identify the main indicators of demographic security and their target benchmarks.

Research methods. To achieve this goal, statistical and sociological analysis methods are used.

Research results. This paper proposes demographic security indicators and their target benchmarks. The particular significance of our proposed demographic security indicators lies in their ability to reflect not only quantitative but also qualitative aspects of population growth.

Conclusion. This study is of great importance for assessing the demographic situation in Russia and its regions, as well as for developing a more targeted demographic policy.

About the authors

Farizat Zh. Berova

Kabardino-Balkarian Scientific Center of the Russian Academy of Sciences

Email: berova@list.ru
SPIN-code: 2186-2173

Doctor of Economics, Head of Laboratory for Social and Demographic Research

Russian Federation, 18, Pushkin street, Nalchik, 360000, Russia

Ibragim A. Tabaksoev

Kabardino-Balkarian Scientific Center of the Russian Academy of Sciences

Author for correspondence.
Email: tabaksoev1982@list.ru
ORCID iD: 0009-0007-3608-4882
SPIN-code: 7506-1674

Candidate of Sociological Sciences, Senior Researcher, Laboratory of Social and Demographic Research

Russian Federation, 18, Pushkin street, Nalchik, 360000, Russia

References

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  3. Berova F.Zh., Ashabakov B.A. On one approach and some results for forecasting demographic processes in a region. Economics of Contemporary Russia. 2011. No. 4(55). Pp. 78–88. EDN: ONCJDD. (In Russian)
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  8. Berova F.Zh. Metodologiya issledovaniya social'no-demograficheskih processov na mezourovne [Methodology for studying socio-demographic processes at the meso-level]. Nalchik: Izd-vo M. and V. Kotlyarovykh, 2012. 264 p. (In Russian)
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