On the Solution of a Deterministic and Stochastic Household Problem with a Finite Planning Horizon
- Authors: Pilnik N.1
-
Affiliations:
- National Research University Higher School of Economics
- Issue: Vol 29, No 1 (2025)
- Pages: 42-71
- Section: Статьи
- URL: https://ogarev-online.ru/1813-8691/article/view/287569
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.17323/1813-8691-2025-29-1-42-71
- ID: 287569
Cite item
Full Text
Abstract
The article uses the example of an optimization problem of a household that makes a de cision on the volumes of consumption and investment to show what difficulties arise in deterministic and stochastic formulations on a finite time interval. In order to make the problem solvable on a finite time interval, a special terminal condition on the agent's equity capital is added, gene ralizing the standard versions of such conditions.
The article considers two settings. The first setting is a deterministic case, assuming that the household knows the trajectories of all exogenous variables over the entire time interval under consideration. An analytical solution to this problem is found and it is shown that by choosing the parameter of the terminal constraint in the problem on a finite time interval, it is always possible to obtain a consumption trajectory from the solution of a similar problem set for an infinite planning horizon. If the coefficient of the terminal condition is chosen so that the optimal consumption trajectory continues the previous value, then with a certain combination of initial conditions, the household's problem can either be solvable only up to a certain planning horizon, or be completely unsolvable.
The second statement is a stochastic case, when the household knows only the distribution law of exogenous variables. In this case, it is not possible to provide a complete analytical solution, but a sequential algorithm is proposed that allows one to obtain a step-by-step description of the calculation of such a solution. The study of the properties of the constructed model al lows one to show how different the work with stochastic optimization problems for the analysis of deviations from a certain selected trajectory of states (balanced growth) in response to the implementation of other states (shocks) is from the problem of analyzing specific realized trajectories of the agent's variables.
About the authors
Nikolay Pilnik
National Research University Higher School of Economics
Author for correspondence.
Email: npilnik@hse.ru
к.э.н., доцент
Russian Federation, MoscowReferences
- Andreev M.Yu., Pospelov I.G., Pospelova I.I., Khokhlov M.Yu. (2007) New Technology for Modeling the Economy and a Model of the Modern Economy of Russia. M.: MEPhI.
- Aseev S.M., Besov K.O., Kryazhimskii A.V. (2012) Infinite-Horizon Optimal Control Problems in Economics. Russian Mathematical Surveys, 67, 2, pp. 195.
- Benveniste L.M., Scheinkman J.A. (1982) Duality Theory for Dynamic Optimization Models of Economics: The Continuous Time Case. Journal of Economic Theory, 27, 1, pp. 1–19.
- Blot J., Hayek N. (2014) Infinite-Horizon Optimal Control in the Discrete-Time Framework. New York: Springer.
- Brock W.A. (1982) Asset Prices in a Production Economy. The Economics of Information and Un-certainty. University of Chicago Press, pp. 1–46.
- Carlson D.A., Haurie A.B., Leizarowitz A. (2012) Infinite Horizon Optimal Control: Deterministic and Stochastic Systems. Springer Science & Business Media.
- Chang R. (1998) Credible Monetary Policy in an Infinite Horizon Model: Recursive Approaches. Journal of Economic Theory, 81, 2, pp. 431–461.
- Costa C. (2018) Understanding dsge Models: Theory and Applications. Vernon Press.
- Da Lio F. (2000) On the Bellman Equation for Infinite Horizon Problems with Unbounded Cost Functional. Applied Mathematics and Optimization, 41, pp. 171–197.
- Ekeland I., Scheinkman J.A. (1986) Transversality Conditions for Some Infinite Horizon Discrete Time Optimization Problems. Mathematics of Operations Research, 11, 2, pp. 216–229.
- Fernández-Villaverde J., Rubio-Ramírez J.F., Schorfheide F. (2016) Solution and Estimation Meth-ods for DSGE Models. Handbook of Macroeconomics. Elsevier, 2, pp. 527–724.
- Kamihigashi T. (2001) Necessity of Transversality Conditions for Infinite Horizon Problems. Econometrica, 69, 4, pp. 995–1012.
- Ljungqvist L., Sargent T.J. (2018) Recursive Macroeconomic Theory. MIT Press.
- Lobanov S.G. (1999) On the Theory of Optimal Economic Growth. HSE Economic Journal, 3, 1, pp. 28–41.
- McCandless G. (2009) The ABCs of RBCs: An Introduction to Dynamic Macroeconomic Models. Harvard University Press.
- Pilnik N.P., Pospelov I.G. (2007) On Natural Terminal Conditions in Models of Intertemporal Equi-librium. HSE Economic Journal, 11, 1, pp. 3–34.
- Pospelov I.G. (2013) Intensive Quantities in an Economy and Conjugate Variables. Mathematical Notes, 94, pp. 146–156.
- Tkachev I., Abate A. (2012) Regularization of Bellman Equations for Infinite-Horizon Probabilis-tic Properties. Proceedings of the 15th ACM international conference on Hybrid Systems: computation and control, pp. 227–236.
- Wiszniewska-Matyszkiel A. (2011) On the Terminal Condition for the Bellman Equation for Dy-namic Optimization with an Infinite Horizon. Applied Mathematics Letters, 24, 6, pp. 943–949.
Supplementary files
