THE DECREASE OF SIZE OF CHILDREN POPULATION AS PREDICTOR OF NEW DEMOGRAPHIC CRISIS

The persistent tendency of decrease of size of population of the Russian Federation, children population included is observed since end of XX century. The totals of the All-Russia population censuses in 2002 and 2010 made it possible to reveal significant decrease of percentage of both boys and girls in total structure of population, especially in age group of 10-17 years. Over a period of all child age (0-17 years) boys are dominating by their numbers and this trend is fully expressed during first five years of life. The comparison of age dynamics in children during examined period established a specific «crossover» manifested by increase of newborns and children younger than 4 years and decrease of numbers of children aged 10-17 years in 2010. At the same time, in 2002 the tendency was diametrically opposite. Hereinafter, this trend can result in significant reduction of size of population of reproductive age and create a foundation for new demographic crisis.

children, population size, age groups, demographic crisis