Modeling Water and Salt Balance of Bol’shoe Yashaltinskoe Lake

Abstract

This article is the first to give morphometric and bathymetric relationships for Bol’shoe Yashaltinskoe Lake, derived by processing expedition data. A bathymetric map of the lake is constructed. A method is proposed for modeling lake water balance and water salinity based on geographic analogy and an algorithm for constructing a stochastic vector autoregression process. Realizations of the simulated series of lake water balance components and water salinity variations over 1000 years with a monthly step are constructed.