Email this article Scenario prediction of changes in water balance components in the Lena Basin in the context of possible climate changes
- Authors: Gusev E.M.1,2, Nasonova O.N.1,2, Dzhogan L.Y.1
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Affiliations:
- Water Problems Institute
- Shirshov Institute of Oceanology
- Issue: Vol 43, No 5 (2016)
- Pages: 754-765
- Section: Water Resources and the Regime of Water Bodies
- URL: https://ogarev-online.ru/0097-8078/article/view/174048
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S0097807816050079
- ID: 174048
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Abstract
The dynamics of meteorological elements in the Lena R. Basin is predicted for the XXI century under four IPCC global scenarios of SRES family, corresponding to specified scenarios of the economic, technological, political, and demographic development of the civilization. The obtained predictions are used to simulate variants of possible changes in water balance components in the Lena Basin up to the mid-XXI century. The calculation procedure is based on the use of land-surface model SWAP and a climate scenario generator MAGICC/SCENGEN.
About the authors
E. M. Gusev
Water Problems Institute; Shirshov Institute of Oceanology
Email: sowaso@yandex.ru
Russian Federation, Gubkina 3, Moscow, 119333; Nakhimovskii prosp. 36, Moscow, 117997
O. N. Nasonova
Water Problems Institute; Shirshov Institute of Oceanology
Author for correspondence.
Email: sowaso@yandex.ru
Russian Federation, Gubkina 3, Moscow, 119333; Nakhimovskii prosp. 36, Moscow, 117997
L. Ya. Dzhogan
Water Problems Institute
Email: sowaso@yandex.ru
Russian Federation, Gubkina 3, Moscow, 119333
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