New model estimates of changes in the duration of the navigation period for the Northern Sea Route in the 21st century
- 作者: Mokhov I.I.1, Khon V.C.1, Prokof’eva M.A.1
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隶属关系:
- Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics
- 期: 卷 468, 编号 2 (2016)
- 页面: 641-645
- 栏目: Geophysics
- URL: https://ogarev-online.ru/1028-334X/article/view/188560
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S1028334X16060209
- ID: 188560
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详细
New estimates of changes in the duration of the navigation period for the Northern Sea Route (NSR) are obtained based on calculations with the current generation of global climate models under moderate anthropogenic impacts in the 21st century. In order to obtain more reliable estimates, it was analyzed whether or not the present climate models can simulate both the average conditions of sea ice and their interannual variation and tendencies to change in the Arctic basin, in particular on the NSR, as compared to the satellite data for recent decades.
作者简介
I. Mokhov
Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics
编辑信件的主要联系方式.
Email: mokhov@ifaran.ru
俄罗斯联邦, Pyzhevsky per. 3, Moscow, 119017
V. Khon
Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics
Email: mokhov@ifaran.ru
俄罗斯联邦, Pyzhevsky per. 3, Moscow, 119017
M. Prokof’eva
Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics
Email: mokhov@ifaran.ru
俄罗斯联邦, Pyzhevsky per. 3, Moscow, 119017
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