Earthquakes and forecast reliability: thermoactivation and mesomechanics of the focal zone
- Авторы: Kalinnikov I.I.1, Manukin A.B.1, Matyunin V.P.1
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Учреждения:
- Schmidt Institute of Physics of the Earth
- Выпуск: Том 474, № 2 (2017)
- Страницы: 646-648
- Раздел: Geophysics
- URL: https://ogarev-online.ru/1028-334X/article/view/190037
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S1028334X17060046
- ID: 190037
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Аннотация
According to our data, the involvement of the fundamental laws of physics, in particular, consideration of an earthquake as a particular macroprocess with a peak together with the thermofluctuational activation of mechanical stresses in some environments, makes it possible to move beyond the traditional idea of the issue of earthquake prediction. Many formal parameters of statistical processing of the geophysical data can be provided with a physical sense related to the mesomechanics of structural changes in a stressed solid body. Measures for improving the efficiency of observations and their mathematical processing to solve the forecasting issues have been specified.
Об авторах
I. Kalinnikov
Schmidt Institute of Physics of the Earth
Автор, ответственный за переписку.
Email: i-kalinn@yandex.ru
Россия, Moscow, 123995
A. Manukin
Schmidt Institute of Physics of the Earth
Email: i-kalinn@yandex.ru
Россия, Moscow, 123995
V. Matyunin
Schmidt Institute of Physics of the Earth
Email: i-kalinn@yandex.ru
Россия, Moscow, 123995
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