Recognition of Strong Earthquake Prone Areas in the Altai–Sayan–Baikal Region


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Abstract

The locations of areas prone to strong earthquakes (M ≥ 6.0) in the Altai–Sayan–Baikal region are determined. Based on a scheme of morphostructural zoning of the region and by using the CORA-3 pattern recognition algorithm, all intersections of morphostructural lineaments are separated into two classes: the highly seismic intersections in the vicinities of which strong earthquakes can occur and low seismic in the vicinities of which only earthquakes with M < 6.0 are possible. Recognition was performed for the vectors the components of which were measured values of the geological–geophysical characteristics describing the respective intersection. The result obtained allows the zones of high seismic hazard to be identified more reliably in the region.

About the authors

A. I. Gorshkov

Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics; Geophysical Center

Email: soloviev@mitp.ru
Russian Federation, Moscow; Moscow

A. A. Soloviev

Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics; Geophysical Center

Author for correspondence.
Email: soloviev@mitp.ru
Russian Federation, Moscow; Moscow

Ju. I. Zharkikh

Geophysical Center

Email: soloviev@mitp.ru
Russian Federation, Moscow

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